JP6897281B2 - Sales forecast program, simulation program, simulation method, and simulation device - Google Patents

Description

This case relates to a sales number prediction program, a simulation program, a simulation method, and a simulation device.

In vending machines, the number of product columns allocated to each contractor at the time of the next contract is increased or decreased according to the sales performance of the products handled by each contractor to which the product column is assigned, and the sales efficiency of the entire vending machine is improved. Techniques for improvement are known (see, for example, Patent Document 1).

Japanese Unexamined Patent Publication No. 2003-077035

By the way, the person who provides the place to install the vending machine (hereinafter referred to as the location owner) is automatically operated by the vending machine management source (hereinafter referred to simply as the operator) such as a beverage maker or a vending machine dealer. Various proposals regarding vending machine installation contracts are presented. The suggestions presented to the operator include various rebate terms paid to the location owner. The rebate conditions include, for example, a sales commission according to the number of products sold by the vending machine, and a place fee for installing the vending machine.

However, the rebate conditions presented by the operator vary, and it can be difficult for the location owner to decide which proposal is desirable to adopt. In particular, the income earned by the location owner fluctuates greatly depending on the number of products sold, and the location owner may not be able to earn income depending on the proposal adopted.

Therefore, in one aspect, it is an object of the present invention to provide a sales number prediction program, a simulation program, a simulation method, and a simulation device that predict sales based on actual results.

In one embodiment, the sales number prediction program refers to the storage unit that stores the management source and the sales record for each of the first vending machine and the second vending machine attached to the vending machine. The ratio of the number of products sold is calculated between the first management source of the vending machine 1 and the second management source of the second vending machine, and the first management source and the second management source are calculated. The actual number of vending machines sold in a specific environment managed by one of the management sources of the vending machine is acquired, and the actual number of sales of the acquired products and the calculated ratio are added to the results. Based on this, a computer performs a process of calculating the estimated number of products sold when a vending machine managed by one of the first management source and the second management source is placed in the specific environment. It is characterized by having it executed.

In one embodiment, the simulation program accepts input of payment terms for lending, accepts designation of vending machine installation location, and adapts to the installation location for multiple operators at the lender of the vending machine location. With reference to the storage unit that stores the sales record of the product of the vending machine, the sales record of the product at the designated installation location is acquired, and based on the acquired sales record, according to the input payment conditions. When the income is calculated for the plurality of operators and the input of a complaint to the specific operator among the plurality of operators is received, the income corresponding to the specific operator is associated with the specific operator and , A computer is made to execute a process of calculating and outputting each income corresponding to the plurality of operators including the calculated specific operator based on a correction value given a weight related to the penalty according to the complaint. It is a feature.

Sales can be predicted based on actual results.

FIG. 1 is a diagram for explaining an example of an information processing system. FIG. 2 is an example of the hardware configuration of the server device. FIG. 3 is an example of a block diagram of a terminal device and a server device. FIG. 4 is an example of the first performance table. FIG. 5 is an example of the second performance table. FIG. 6 is an example of a payment terms table. FIG. 7 is an example of an attribute table. FIG. 8 is a processing sequence diagram (No. 1) showing an example of the operation of the information processing system. FIG. 9 is an example of a condition input screen. FIG. 10 is a processing sequence diagram (No. 2) showing an example of the operation of the information processing system. FIG. 11 is an example of the contract evaluation screen. FIG. 12 is an example of the correction coefficient for each operator. FIG. 13 is an example of the estimated number of sales for each operator. FIG. 14 is an example of income for each operator. FIG. 15 is an example of the calculation result screen.

Hereinafter, a mode for carrying out this case will be described with reference to the drawings.

FIG. 1 is a diagram for explaining an example of the information processing system S. The information processing system S includes a terminal device 100 and a server device 200 as a sales number prediction device or a simulation device. In FIG. 1, a personal computer (PC) is shown as an example of the terminal device 100, but it may be a smart device or a wearable device. Examples of smart devices include smartphones and tablet terminals. Wearable devices include, for example, head-mounted displays and smart watches. The terminal device 100 is arranged at the user's base X. The users include the location owner and an agent who acts on behalf of various operations performed by the location owner when installing the vending machine. On the other hand, the server device 200 is deployed at a base Y (for example, a data center) on the cloud CL. In this way, the base Y of the server device 200 and the base X of the terminal device 100 may be different bases, but they may be the same base, for example, in the same office.

The terminal device 100 and the server device 200 are connected to each other. More specifically, the terminal device 100 and the server device 200 are connected via a communication network NW. The communication network NW includes, for example, the Internet. Therefore, the terminal device 100 can be connected to the server device 200 by using wired communication. When the terminal device 100 and the server device 200 are installed at the same base, for example, a Local Area Network (LAN) or the like is used as a communication network NW.

The terminal device 100 is used by the user. The terminal device 100 includes an input device 110, a display device 120, and a control device 130. The control device 130 controls the display contents of the display device 120 based on the information and instructions input from the input device 110. Further, the control device 130 transmits the input information to the server device 200 or receives the information transmitted from the server device 200 based on the instruction input from the input device 110. The control device 130 controls the display content of the display device 120 based on the received information.

Details will be described later, but the information input from the input device includes, for example, conditional information regarding the contract conditions of the vending machine installation contract between the location owner and the operator, and designated information specified by the user when evaluating the installation contract. and so on. Further, the information transmitted from the server device 200 includes, for example, income information regarding income obtained as an evaluation result by the user.

Hereinafter, details of the configuration and operation of the terminal device 100 and the server device 200 described above will be described.

FIG. 2 is an example of the hardware configuration of the server device 200. Since the terminal device 100 described above has basically the same hardware configuration as the server device 200, the description thereof will be omitted. As shown in FIG. 2, the server device 200 includes at least a Central Processing Unit (CPU) 200A, a Random Access Memory (RAM) 200B, a Read Only Memory (ROM) 200C, and a network I / F (interface) 200D as processors. I'm out. The server device 200 may include at least one of a Hard Disk Drive (HDD) 200E, an input I / F200F, an output I / F200G, an input / output I / F200H, and a drive device 200I, if necessary. The CPU 200A to the drive device 200I are connected to each other by the internal bus 200J. A computer is realized by at least the CPU 200A and the RAM 200B collaborating with each other. A Micro Processing Unit (MPU) may be used as a processor instead of the CPU 200A.

An input device 710 is connected to the input I / F 200F. The input device 710 includes, for example, a keyboard and a mouse. The above-mentioned input device 110 is basically the same as the input device 710.
A display device 720 is connected to the output I / F 200G. The display device 720 includes, for example, a liquid crystal display. The display device 120 described above is basically the same as the display device 720.
A semiconductor memory 730 is connected to the input / output I / F 200H. Examples of the semiconductor memory 730 include a Universal Serial Bus (USB) memory and a flash memory. The input / output I / F 200H reads programs and data stored in the semiconductor memory 730.
The input I / F 200F and the input / output I / F 200H include, for example, a USB port. The output I / F 200G includes, for example, a display port.

A portable recording medium 740 is inserted into the drive device 200I. Examples of the portable recording medium 740 include removable discs such as Compact Disc (CD) -ROM and Digital Versatile Disc (DVD). The drive device 200I reads programs and data recorded on the portable recording medium 740.
The network I / F200D includes, for example, a LAN port. The network I / F200D is connected to the above-mentioned communication network NW.

In the RAM 200B described above, the program stored in the ROM 200C or the HDD 200E is stored by the CPU 200A. The program recorded on the portable recording medium 740 is stored in the RAM 200B by the CPU 200A. When the CPU 200A executes the stored program, various functions described later are realized, and various processes described later are executed. The program may be adapted to the flowchart described later.

Next, the functions of the terminal device 100 and the server device 200 will be described with reference to FIGS. 3 to 7.

FIG. 3 is an example of a block diagram of the terminal device 100 and the server device 200. FIG. 3 shows the functional configurations of the control device 130 and the server device 200 included in the terminal device 100. FIG. 4 is an example of the first actual result table T1. FIG. 5 is an example of the second actual table T2. FIG. 6 is an example of the payment condition table T3. FIG. 7 is an example of the attribute table T4.

First, the control device 130 will be described. As shown in FIG. 3, the control device 130 includes an input unit 131, a display unit 132, a communication unit 133, and a control unit 134. The input unit 131, the display unit 132, and the communication unit 133 are realized by, for example, the above-mentioned input I / F200F, output I / F200G, and network I / F200D, respectively. The control unit 134 is realized by, for example, the CPU 200A and the RAM 200B described above.

The input unit 131 receives the information input from the input device 110 and outputs the information to the control unit 134. The display unit 132 receives the information output from the control unit 134 and outputs it to the display device 120. The display device 120 displays various screens or changes the display contents on the screen based on the information output from the display unit 132. The communication unit 133 transmits the information output from the control unit 134 to the server device 200. Further, the communication unit 133 receives the information transmitted from the server device 200 and outputs the information to the control unit 134.

The control unit 134 determines the type of information or instruction output from the input unit 131, and outputs the information to the display unit 132 or the information to the communication unit 133 according to the determination result. Depending on the type of information, the control unit 134 executes various types of information processing and then outputs the information to the display unit 132 and the communication unit 133.

Next, the server device 200 will be described. As shown in FIG. 3, the server device 200 includes a past record storage unit 210, a payment condition storage unit 220, a base record storage unit 230, a communication unit 240, and an information processing unit 250 as a processing unit. The past record storage unit 210, the payment condition storage unit 220, and the base record storage unit 230 are realized by, for example, the HDD 200E described above. The communication unit 240 is realized by, for example, the network I / F200D described above. The information processing unit 250 is realized by, for example, the CPU 200A and the RAM 200B described above.

The past record storage unit 210 stores the first record information and the second record information regarding the past sales record of the product sold by the vending machine. Specifically, as shown in FIG. 4, the past record storage unit 210 manages the first record information by the first record table T1. The first performance information includes the installation location CD, the operator, and the number of past sales as components. The installation location CD is a code number that identifies the location where the vending machine is installed. The operator manages the vending machine at the location specified by the installation location CD as a management source. For example, the location specified by the installation location CD "444" indicates that a vending machine managed by the operator "Company A" and a vending machine managed by the operator "Company B" are installed side by side. .. That is, when the installation location CD is the same and the operators are different, it means that vending machines managed by different operators are installed side by side at that location. The number of past sales represents the number of sales that the vending machine managed by each operator actually sold the product at the place specified by the installation location CD. The number of past sales may be a single year or multiple years.

Further, as shown in FIG. 5, the past record storage unit 210 manages the second record information by the second record table T2. The second performance information includes the base sales number for each installation location CD as a component. The base sales volume includes the monthly sales volume per vending machine installed at the location specified by the installation location CD as a component. Installation location When there are two vending machines installed at the location specified by the CD, the base sales number may be the average value of the two vending machines. The base sales volume is the number of sales that is not limited to a specific operator. Therefore, the base sales volume may be a product sold by a vending machine managed by the operator "Company A", or a product sold by a vending machine managed by the operator "Company B". It may be a product sold by a vending machine managed by an operator other than the operators "Company A" and "Company B". From the second performance information, it is possible to identify the monthly sales tendency of the product by the vending machine installed at that place.

The payment condition storage unit 220 stores condition information regarding the contract conditions of the vending machine installation contract presented by the operator to the user. The condition information includes payment condition information paid by the operator to the user and attribute information regarding the attributes of the location owner. As shown in FIG. 6, the payment condition storage unit 220 manages the payment condition information by the payment condition table T3. Payment terms information includes operators and fixed payments and actual payments as payment terms. Although the details will be described later, the payment condition information is transmitted from the terminal device 100 as condition information, and is registered in the payment condition storage unit 220 by the information processing unit 250.

Further, as shown in FIG. 7, the payment condition storage unit 220 manages the attribute information by the attribute table T4. The attribute information includes the attributes of the installation location CD, the operator, and the vending machine (denoted as vending machine attributes in FIG. 7) as constituent elements. The contract code, contract name, claim information, etc., which will be described later, may be included in the component of the attribute information. The attributes of the vending machine include the facility type and facility scale as the installation environment of the vending machine. The facility type represents the type of location owner where the vending machine is installed. The facility scale represents the scale of the location owner where the vending machine is installed. For example, when a vending machine is installed in a medical facility, the number of beds may be used as the facility scale. The vending machine attributes are not limited to the facility type and facility scale. For example, the population size of the area where the vending machine is installed (for example, population density) and the area where the vending machine is installed (for example, commercial area or residential area). , Cold regions, etc.) may be included. Although the details will be described later, the attribute information is transmitted from the terminal device 100 as condition information, and is registered in the payment condition storage unit 220 by the information processing unit 250.

The base performance storage unit 230 stores base sales information representing base sales used when performing contract evaluation. As the base sales information, the above-mentioned second actual table T2 may be used, or the number of monthly sales entered by the user may be used. For example, when the user determines that the installation contract proposed by the operator has an installation record in the past, the information processing unit 250 registers the above-mentioned second record table T2 in the base record storage unit 230 according to an instruction based on the user's operation. To do. On the other hand, when the user determines that there is no installation record in the past regarding the installation contract proposed by the operator, the terminal device 300 transmits the monthly sales number input by the user according to the instruction based on the user's operation, and the information processing unit. The 250 registers the number of received monthly sales in the base performance storage unit 230.

The communication unit 240 receives various information transmitted from the terminal device 300, and outputs the received various information to the information processing unit 250. Further, the communication unit 240 receives various information output from the information processing unit 250, and transmits the received various information to the terminal device 100.

The information processing unit 250 receives input of various information output from the communication unit 240 and executes various information processing. For example, when the information processing unit 250 receives the input of the condition information transmitted from the terminal device 300, the information processing unit 250 registers the input condition information in the payment condition storage unit 220. More specifically, the information processing unit 250 registers the payment condition information and the attribute information transmitted as the condition information in the payment condition storage unit 220. Further, for example, when the information processing unit 250 receives the input of the designated information transmitted from the terminal device 300, the information processing unit 250 acquires the attribute information, the first actual information, and the second actual information based on the input designated information. The estimated number of products sold is calculated based on the attribute information, the first performance information, and the second performance information. Further, when the information processing unit 250 calculates the estimated number of sales, the information processing unit 250 calculates the income earned by the user based on the payment condition information. Other information processing executed by the information processing unit 250 will be described later.

Subsequently, the operation of the information processing system S will be described.

First, with reference to FIGS. 8 and 9, the operation until the condition information is registered in the payment condition storage unit 220 will be described. FIG. 8 is a processing sequence diagram (No. 1) showing an example of the operation of the information processing system S. FIG. 9 is an example of a condition input screen. First, the control unit 134 of the terminal device 100 displays the condition input screen on the display device 120 (step S101). More specifically, when the control unit 134 detects an instruction to display the condition input screen output from the input unit 131, it accesses the server device 200 and acquires screen information related to the condition input screen from the server device 200. When the control unit 134 acquires the screen information, the control unit 134 displays the condition input screen corresponding to the acquired screen information on the display device 120.

As shown in FIG. 9, the condition input screen includes a plurality of input fields Bx1 to Bx11, a registration button BT1, and a back button BT2. The user inputs condition information for each operator in a plurality of input fields Bx1 to Bx11 based on the contents of the contract proposed by the operator (for example, rebate condition) on the condition input screen.

Specifically, the user inputs a code capable of identifying a plurality of contracts and a contract name in the contract code and contract name input fields Bx1 and Bx2. The user inputs a code that can identify the installation location of the vending machine and the name of the installation location in the installation location CD and the installation location name input fields Bx3 and Bx4. The user inputs the name of the operator who proposed the contract and the current status in the input fields Bx5 and Bx6 of the operator and the contract condition classification. In addition to the proposals shown in FIG. 9, the status includes contracts and rejections. The status may be in the selection format instead of the input format. The user inputs the amount presented as the rebate condition in the input fields Bx7 and Bx8 for the fixed payment and the actual payment. The user inputs a complaint to the operator in the complaint information input field Bx9. Instead of inputting a complaint, a format may be used in which the presence or absence of a complaint and the number of complaints are selected. The user inputs the location owner's facility and scale in the attribute (facility) and attribute (scale) input fields Bx10 and Bx11.

Returning to FIG. 8, the control unit 134 waits until the registration instruction is detected (step S102: NO). When the control unit 134 detects the registration instruction (step S102: YES), the control unit 134 transmits the condition information to the server device 200 (step S103). Specifically, when the user finishes inputting the condition information in the plurality of input fields Bx1 to Bx11 on the condition input screen, the user gives a registration instruction to press the registration button BT1 by the pointer Pt. As a result, the control unit 134 detects the registration instruction and transmits the condition information input to the plurality of input fields Bx1 to Bx11 to the server device 200.

The information processing unit 250 of the server device 200 receives the condition information transmitted from the terminal device 300 through the communication unit 240 (step S201). When the information processing unit 250 receives the condition information, the information processing unit 250 registers the condition information in the payment condition storage unit 220 (step S202). More specifically, the information processing unit 205 stores the payment condition information as the condition information in the payment condition table T3, and stores the attribute information as the condition information in the attribute table T4.

Next, with reference to FIGS. 10 to 15, the operation until the calculation result screen including the calculation result regarding the income earned by the user is displayed will be described. FIG. 10 is a processing sequence diagram (No. 2) showing an example of the operation of the information processing system S. FIG. 11 is an example of the contract evaluation screen. FIG. 12 is an example of the correction coefficient for each operator. FIG. 13 is an example of the estimated number of sales for each operator. FIG. 14 is an example of income for each operator. FIG. 15 is an example of the calculation result screen.

First, as shown in FIG. 10, the control unit 134 of the terminal device 100 displays the contract evaluation screen on the display device 120 (step S111). More specifically, when the control unit 134 detects an instruction to display the contract evaluation screen output from the input unit 131, it accesses the server device 200 and acquires screen information related to the contract evaluation screen from the server device 200. When the control unit 134 acquires the screen information, the control unit 134 displays the contract evaluation screen according to the acquired screen information on the display device 120.

As shown in FIG. 11, the contract evaluation screen includes a plurality of input fields Bx21, Bx22, Bx25 to Bx27, selection buttons Bt23, Bt24, calculation button BT3, and back button BT4. When the user selects the selection button Bt23, the user inputs the specified information in the plurality of input fields Bx21, Bx22, and Bx25. On the other hand, when the user selects the selection button Bt24, the user inputs the designated information in the plurality of input fields Bx21, Bx22, Bx25 to Bx27.

Specifically, the user inputs the installation location CD in the installation location CD input field Bx21. The user inputs the contract code of the contract to be compared with the contract code input field Bx22. The user selects one of the evaluation type selection buttons Bt23 and Bt24. For example, if there is a past sales record of the vending machine at the location specified by the installation location CD, the user selects the selection button Bt23. On the contrary, when there is no past sales record of the vending machine at the place specified by the installation place CD, the user selects the selection button Bt24. The user inputs the expected number of sales and the period for calculating the income in the input field Bx25 of the target period. When the user selects the selection button Bt24, the user inputs the number of units sold each month according to the target period in the model type input field Bx26, and inputs the selling price per product in the standard selling price input field Bx27. Instead of inputting the number of monthly sales in the model type input field Bx26, select one of the model cases from a plurality of model cases including each of the predefined monthly sales. You may. In addition, the standard selling price is used when the operator proposes a fixed rate of the selling price (specifically, a percentage of the standard selling price per one) as an actual payment. Actual payment can be calculated from the standard selling price and the fixed rate.

Returning to FIG. 10, the control unit 134 waits until the calculation instruction is detected (step S112: NO). When the control unit 134 detects the calculation instruction (step S112: YES), the control unit 134 transmits the designated information to the server device 200 (step S113). For example, when the user selects the selection button Bt23 on the contract evaluation screen and finishes inputting the designated information for the plurality of input fields Bx21, Bx22, and Bx25, the user gives a calculation instruction to press the calculation button BT3 by the pointer Pt. As a result, the control unit 134 detects the calculation instruction and transmits the designated information input to the plurality of input fields Bx21, Bx22, and Bx25 to the server device 200 together with the selection information selected by the selection button Bt23.

The information processing unit 250 of the server device 200 receives the designated information transmitted from the terminal device 300 through the communication unit 240 (step S211). When the information processing unit 250 receives the designated information, it acquires the second actual information (step S212). More specifically, when the information processing unit 205 detects the selection information transmitted from the terminal device 300, the information processing unit 205 acquires the second actual information from the past actual result storage unit 210 based on the installation location CD as the designated information. In the present embodiment, since the information processing unit 205 accepts the installation location CD "444" as the designated information, the second actual information (see FIG. 5) corresponding to the installation location CD "444" is acquired.

When the process of step S212 is completed, the information processing unit 250 then acquires the first actual information (step S213). More specifically, first, the information processing unit 205 identifies the installation location CD to which the vending machine is attached from the attribute information (see FIG. 7) stored in the payment condition storage unit 220. In the present embodiment, the information processing unit 250 specifies the installation location CDs "222", "333", and "444". In this way, by specifying the installation location CD of the vending machine installed in the same location as a comparison target, which (or which) operator's vending machine is among the vending machines installed in the same location. It is possible to determine whether more products are being sold. On the contrary, even if the installation location CD of the non-attached vending machine that is not installed is specified as a comparison target, the traffic in front of the vending machine managed by each operator is for each location specified by the installation location CD. Therefore, it may not be possible to accurately determine the sales trend of products as a comparison target. That is, the number of products sold can be meaningfully determined because the operators use different vending machines as comparison targets because they are installed side by side in the same place.

Next, the information processing unit 250 identifies the operator from the payment condition information (see FIG. 6) stored in the payment condition storage unit 220. In the present embodiment, the information processing unit 250 identifies the operators "Company A" and "Company B". Next, the information processing unit 250 selects an installation location CD according to the specified operator from the specified installation location CDs. In this embodiment, the installation location CDs "222" and "444" are selected. Next, the information processing unit 250 compares the facility type and facility scale associated with the selected installation location CD with the facility type and facility scale associated with the contract code as designated information, and automatically sells the vending machine to be installed this time. Determine if the vending machine has similar attributes to the machine. For example, when both or one of the facility type and the facility scale match, the information processing unit 250 determines that the attributes are close. On the other hand, if both the facility type and the facility scale do not match, the information processing unit 250 determines that the attributes are distant. If both the facility type and the facility scale match, the information processing unit 250 determines that the attributes are close, and if both do not match or one of them matches, the information processing unit 250 determines that the attributes are distant. Good. The information processing unit 250 adopts an installation location code according to the facility type and facility scale determined to have similar attributes, and acquires the first actual information according to the adopted installation location code from the past actual record storage unit 210. Therefore, in the present embodiment, the information processing unit 250 acquires the first actual result information (see FIG. 4) according to the installation location CD “444”. The contract code, facility type, and facility scale are associated with each other when the registration button BT1 is pressed on the condition input screen (see FIG. 9).

When the process of step S213 is completed, the information processing unit 250 then calculates the correction coefficient (step S214). More specifically, the information processing unit 250 calculates a correction coefficient representing the ratio of the number of products sold for each operator based on the number of past sales included in the acquired first performance information. The information processing unit 250 calculates the correction coefficient by the following formula.
<Calculation formula>
Correction coefficient = Number of past sales of target operators ÷ (Total number of past sales of each operator ÷ Number of operators)

Therefore, in the present embodiment, as shown in FIG. 12, the information processing unit 250 calculates the correction coefficient = 4000 ÷ ((4000 + 6000) ÷ 2) = 0.8 for the operator “Company A”. Similarly, the information processing unit 250 calculates the correction coefficient = 6000 ÷ ((4000 + 6000) ÷ 2) = 1.2 for the operator “Company B”. When the complaint information is associated with the contract code, the information processing unit 250 may give the calculated correction coefficient a weight regarding penalties according to the complaint of the complaint information. For example, the information processing unit 250 may multiply the correction coefficient by a weight of less than 1. As a result, the new correction coefficient becomes a smaller value than the original correction coefficient, and the information processing unit 250 calculates the estimated number of sales in consideration of not only the quantitative sales performance but also the qualitative complaint in the process described later. .. As the weight, for example, a smaller value may be used as the number of complaints increases.

When the process of step S214 is completed, the information processing unit 250 then calculates the estimated sales number (step S215). More specifically, the information processing unit 250 multiplies each of the monthly base sales numbers (see FIG. 5) included in the acquired second actual information by the calculated correction coefficient for each operator, and is shown in FIG. In addition, the estimated number of sales for each operator is calculated.

When the process of step S215 is completed, the information processing unit 250 then calculates the income (step S216). More specifically, the information processing unit 250 extracts payment condition information (see FIG. 6) from the payment condition storage unit 220, and uses the estimated number of sales calculated for each operator and the fixed amount payment and the actual payment included in the extracted payment condition information. Based on this, as shown in FIG. 14, monthly income and total income are calculated for each operator. For example, in the case of the January income of the operator "Company A", the information processing unit 250 calculates 1000 (yen / month) + 18 (yen / book) x 320 (book) = 6,760 yen. The same is true for the remaining income.

When the process of step S216 is completed, the information processing unit 250 then transmits the calculation result information (step S217). More specifically, the information processing unit 250 transmits the calculation result information including the income information representing the calculated income and the payment condition information to the terminal device 300. That is, the information processing unit 250 outputs the income information to the terminal device 300. The control unit 134 of the terminal device 100 receives the calculation result information through the communication unit 133 (step S114). When the control unit 134 receives the calculation result information, as shown in FIG. 15, the control unit 134 displays the calculation result screen corresponding to the received calculation result information on the display device 120 (step S115). This allows the user to confirm which operator's proposal should be adopted. If necessary, the calculation result screen may include information about the complaint. After completing the confirmation, the user superimposes the pointer Pt on the confirmation button BT5 and gives an instruction to press the confirmation button BT5.

As described above, according to the present embodiment, the server device 200 includes an information processing unit 250. The information processing unit 250 refers to the past record storage unit 210 for each of the first vending machine and the second vending machine attached thereto, and refers to the first operator and the second operator of the first vending machine. A correction coefficient representing the ratio of the number of products sold is calculated with respect to the second operator of the vending machine. The information processing unit 250 acquires the second actual information regarding the number of products sold by the vending machine arranged in a specific environment, which is managed by one of the first operator and the second operator. Predictive sales of products when a vending machine managed by one of the first operator and the second operator is placed in a specific environment based on the acquired second actual information and the calculated correction coefficient. Calculate the number. In this way, the number of product sales can be predicted based on the product sales performance. It is also possible to predict the amount of sales revenue obtained from product sales based on the predicted number of product sales and payment terms.

Although the preferred embodiment of the present invention has been described in detail above, it is not limited to the specific embodiment of the present invention, and various modifications are made within the scope of the gist of the present invention described in the claims.・ Can be changed. For example, the process of step S212 for acquiring the second actual information may be between the processes of steps S214 and S215. For example, the control unit 134 may execute a part or all of various processes executed by the information processing unit 250. In the present embodiment, the term "installation" described above also includes the meaning of arrangement. In addition, the term income described above includes the meaning of income and profit.

The following additional notes will be further disclosed with respect to the above description.
(Appendix 1) For each of the first vending machine and the second vending machine attached to the vending machine, refer to the storage unit that stores the management source and the sales record, and refer to the first vending machine of the first vending machine. The ratio of the number of products sold is calculated between the management source of the above and the second management source of the second vending machine, and one of the first management source and the second management source. The first management is based on the actual sales number of vending machines placed in a specific environment, which is managed by the above, and the calculated ratio of the acquired actual sales number of the products. It is characterized in that a computer executes a process of calculating an estimated number of products sold when a vending machine managed by one of the original and the second management source is placed in the specific environment. Sales forecast program.
(Appendix 2) The sales number forecasting program according to Appendix 1, wherein the vending machine arranged in the specific environment is arranged in a state of being not attached to the vending machine of another management source.
(Appendix 3) The specific environment is the same environment as or similar to the environment specified by input, and the type of vending machine placement facility, the size of the placement facility, the population size of the placement area, and the placement area. The sales number forecasting program according to Appendix 1, which comprises at least one of the information.
(Appendix 4) The process of calculating the ratio is characterized in that, when the designation of a complaint to the management source is received by input, the calculated ratio is given a weight regarding penalties according to the complaint. Sales forecast program.
(Appendix 5) For each of the first vending machine and the second vending machine attached to the vending machine, refer to the storage unit that stores the management source and the sales record, and refer to the first vending machine of the first vending machine. The ratio of the number of products sold is calculated between the management source of the above and the second management source of the second vending machine, and one of the first management source and the second management source. The first management is based on the actual sales number of vending machines placed in a specific environment, which is managed by the above, and the calculated ratio of the acquired actual sales number of the products. It is characterized in that a computer executes a process of calculating an estimated number of products sold when a vending machine managed by one of the original and the second management source is placed in the specific environment. How to predict the number of sales.
(Appendix 6) For each of the first vending machine and the second vending machine attached to the vending machine, refer to the storage unit that stores the management source and the sales record, and refer to the first vending machine of the first vending machine. The ratio of the number of products sold is calculated between the management source of the above and the second management source of the second vending machine, and one of the first management source and the second management source. The first management is based on the actual sales number of vending machines placed in a specific environment, which is managed by the above, and the calculated ratio of the acquired actual sales number of the products. It is characterized by including a processing unit that executes processing for calculating the estimated number of products sold when the vending machine managed by one of the original and the second management source is arranged in the specific environment. Sales quantity forecasting device.
(Appendix 7) For multiple operators of the lender of the vending machine placement location, accept the input of payment terms for the loan, accept the designation of the vending machine installation location, and the vending machine products according to the installation location. With reference to the storage unit that stores the sales record, the sales record of the product at the designated installation location is acquired, and based on the acquired sales record, the income according to the input payment conditions is generated by the plurality of items. A simulation program characterized by having a computer execute a process that calculates for an operator and outputs each income corresponding to the calculated plurality of operators.
(Appendix 8) The calculated process includes a process of calculating income corresponding to a specific operator among the plurality of operators based on a correction value corresponding to the specific operator. The simulation program according to Appendix 7.
(Supplementary note 9) The calculation process is characterized in that, when the process of accepting the input receives the designation of a complaint to the operator by the input, the correction value is given a weight regarding the penalty according to the complaint. 8. The simulation program according to 8.
(Appendix 10) For multiple operators at the lender of the vending machine placement location, the input of payment terms for the loan is accepted, the designation of the vending machine installation location is accepted, and the vending machine products according to the installation location With reference to the storage unit that stores the sales record, the sales record of the product at the designated installation location is acquired, and based on the acquired sales record, the income according to the input payment conditions is generated by the plurality of items. A simulation method characterized in that a computer executes a process of calculating for an operator and outputting each income corresponding to the calculated plurality of operators.
(Appendix 11) For multiple operators at the lender of the vending machine placement location, the payment terms for the loan can be entered, the vending machine installation location can be specified, and the vending machine products according to the installation location can be specified. With reference to the storage unit that stores the sales record, the sales record of the product at the designated installation location is acquired, and based on the acquired sales record, the income according to the input payment conditions is generated by the plurality of items. A simulation apparatus including a processing unit that executes processing by calculating for an operator and outputting each income corresponding to the plurality of calculated operators.
(Supplementary Note 12) The processing unit includes a process of calculating income corresponding to a specific operator among the plurality of operators based on a correction value corresponding to the specific operator. 11. The simulation apparatus according to 11.
(Supplementary Note 13) The simulation apparatus according to Supplementary Note 12, wherein when the processing unit receives a designation of a complaint to an operator by input, the correction value is given a weight regarding penalties according to the complaint.

S Information processing system 100 Terminal device 200 Server device 210 Past performance storage unit 220 Payment condition storage unit 230 Base performance storage unit 240 Communication unit 250 Information processing unit

Claims (7)

For each of the first vending machine and the second vending machine attached to each other, the first management source of the first vending machine and the first management source of the first vending machine are referred to with reference to the storage unit that stores the management source and the sales record. Calculate the ratio of the number of products sold with respect to the second management source of the second vending machine.
Obtained the actual number of sales of vending machine products placed in a specific environment managed by one of the first management source and the second management source.
Based on the acquired actual number of sales of the product and the calculated ratio, the vending machine managed by the other of the first management source and the second management source is placed in the specific environment. Calculate the expected number of products to be sold when arranging,
A sales forecast program characterized by having a computer perform processing. The vending machine placed in the specific environment is placed in a state of not being attached to the vending machine of another management source.
The sales number forecasting program according to claim 1. The particular environment is specified by input and is associated with information on at least one of the vending machine placement facility type, placement facility size, placement area population size, and placement area.
The sales number forecasting program according to claim 1. In the process of calculating the ratio, when the designation of the complaint to the management source is received by input, the calculated ratio is given a weight regarding the penalty according to the complaint.
The sales number forecasting program according to claim 1. Accepts input of payment terms for lending for multiple operators at the lender of the vending machine location
Accepting the designation of the installation location of the vending machine,
By referring to the storage unit that stores the sales record of the vending machine products according to the installation location, the sales record of the product at the specified installation location is acquired.
Based on the acquired sales performance, the income according to the input payment conditions is calculated for the plurality of operators.
When the input of a complaint to a specific operator among the plurality of operators is received, the income corresponding to the specific operator is associated with the specific operator, and the weight regarding the penalties according to the complaint is given. Calculated based on the corrected value
Output each income corresponding to the plurality of operators including the calculated specific operator.
A simulation program characterized by having a computer execute processing. Accepts input of payment terms for lending for multiple operators at the lender of the vending machine location
Accepting the designation of the installation location of the vending machine,
By referring to the storage unit that stores the sales record of the vending machine products according to the installation location, the sales record of the product at the specified installation location is acquired.
Based on the acquired sales performance, the income according to the input payment conditions is calculated for the plurality of operators.
When the input of a complaint to a specific operator among the plurality of operators is received, the income corresponding to the specific operator is associated with the specific operator, and the weight regarding the penalties according to the complaint is given. Calculated based on the corrected value
Output each income corresponding to the plurality of operators including the calculated specific operator.
A simulation method characterized by the processing being performed by a computer. Accepts input of payment terms for lending for multiple operators at the lender of the vending machine location
Accepting the designation of the installation location of the vending machine,
By referring to the storage unit that stores the sales record of the vending machine products according to the installation location, the sales record of the product at the specified installation location is acquired.
Based on the acquired sales performance, the income according to the input payment conditions is calculated for the plurality of operators.
When the input of a complaint to a specific operator among the plurality of operators is received, the income corresponding to the specific operator is associated with the specific operator, and the weight regarding the penalties according to the complaint is given. Calculated based on the corrected value
Output each income corresponding to the plurality of operators including the calculated specific operator.
A simulation device including a processing unit that executes processing.

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