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JP7849598B2 - Battery life estimation device and battery life estimation method - Google Patents
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JP7849598B2 - Battery life estimation device and battery life estimation method - Google Patents

Battery life estimation device and battery life estimation method

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JP7849598B2
JP7849598B2 JP2022090368A JP2022090368A JP7849598B2 JP 7849598 B2 JP7849598 B2 JP 7849598B2 JP 2022090368 A JP2022090368 A JP 2022090368A JP 2022090368 A JP2022090368 A JP 2022090368A JP 7849598 B2 JP7849598 B2 JP 7849598B2
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storage battery
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翔治 吉田
涼 大嶋
優斗 沖田
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Nissin Electric Co Ltd
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    • YGENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
    • Y02TECHNOLOGIES OR APPLICATIONS FOR MITIGATION OR ADAPTATION AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
    • Y02EREDUCTION OF GREENHOUSE GAS [GHG] EMISSIONS, RELATED TO ENERGY GENERATION, TRANSMISSION OR DISTRIBUTION
    • Y02E60/00Enabling technologies; Technologies with a potential or indirect contribution to GHG emissions mitigation
    • Y02E60/10Energy storage using batteries

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Description

本開示は、蓄電池の寿命推定装置及び蓄電池の寿命推定方法に関する。 This disclosure relates to a battery life estimation device and a battery life estimation method.

再生可能エネルギーの有効利用や災害時の電力供給等を目的とした定置用蓄電池の導入が拡大しつつある。蓄電池は次第に性能が低下していくため、蓄電池の寿命を把握することはシステムを健全に運用していく上で非常に重要である。そのため、蓄電池の寿命を推定することが行われている。 The introduction of stationary battery storage systems is expanding, aimed at the efficient use of renewable energy and power supply during disasters. Since battery performance gradually degrades, understanding the battery's lifespan is crucial for the smooth operation of the system. Therefore, battery life estimation is being carried out.

蓄電池の寿命推定技術の一例としては、蓄電池の運用時間の平方根が蓄電池容量と比例関係にあることを利用する所謂ルート則を用いるものが知られている(例えば特許文献1参照)。 One example of a battery life estimation technique is the use of the so-called square root rule, which utilizes the fact that the square root of the battery's operating time is proportional to its capacity (see, for example, Patent Document 1).

特開2013-254710号公報Japanese Patent Publication No. 2013-254710

ところで、特許文献1の蓄電池の寿命推定技術は、蓄電池の正極及び負極のそれぞれの性能低下状況に基づき、特に寿命末期の電池性能低下をより精度良く把握できることを狙ったものである。こうした例のように、蓄電池の寿命推定精度を向上させることが要求の一つとしてある。本発明者は、上記向上策とは異なる寿命推定手法を模索していた。 Incidentally, the battery life estimation technology described in Patent Document 1 aims to more accurately grasp the performance degradation of the battery, particularly towards the end of its lifespan, based on the performance degradation status of the positive and negative electrodes of the battery. As this example illustrates, improving the accuracy of battery life estimation is one of the requirements. The inventors of this invention were seeking a life estimation method different from the above-mentioned improvement measures.

[1]上記課題を解決する蓄電池の寿命推定装置は、蓄電池の電池状態値の実測値から得る近似式に基づいて前記蓄電池の寿命推定を行う蓄電池の寿命推定装置であって、前記蓄電池の運用期間において充放電動作が行われた充放電サイクルに係るサイクル時間、及び前記充放電動作が行われていない保存経過に係る保存時間を算出する期間算出部と、前記蓄電池の電池状態値の実測値、前記サイクル時間、及び前記保存時間に基づいた最小二乗近似によるべき乗則の近似式の取得とともに、前記近似式に基づいて前記蓄電池の所望寿命までの寿命情報を算出する寿命推定部と、を備えてなる。 [1] A battery life estimation device that solves the above problem is a battery life estimation device that estimates the life of a battery based on an approximate formula obtained from measured values of the battery state of the battery, and comprises: a period calculation unit that calculates the cycle time for charge-discharge cycles in which charge-discharge operations were performed during the operating period of the battery, and the storage time for storage periods in which no charge-discharge operations were performed; and a life estimation unit that obtains an approximate formula of a power law using least-squares approximation based on the measured values of the battery state of the battery, the cycle time, and the storage time, and calculates life information up to the desired life of the battery based on the approximate formula.

上記構成によれば、蓄電池の運用期間中の充放電サイクルに係るサイクル時間と、保存経過に係る保存時間とを分けて算出が行われる。次いで、蓄電池の電池状態値の実測値、サイクル時間、及び保存時間に基づいて、最小二乗近似によるべき乗則の近似式の取得が行われる。そして、取得した近似式に基づいて、蓄電池の所望寿命までの寿命情報の算出が行われる。つまり、充放電サイクルと単なる保存経過とでは蓄電池の性能が大きく異なることに着目し、個別に算出を進めることは寿命推定精度の向上が十分に期待できる。また、近似式をべき乗則とすることで、蓄電池の寿命推定で一般的に用いられるルート則のみならず、状況に応じてルート則以外の近似も行うことが可能である。このことでも、寿命推定精度の向上が期待できる。 According to the above configuration, the cycle time related to charge-discharge cycles during the battery's operating period and the storage time related to storage are calculated separately. Next, based on the measured battery state values, cycle time, and storage time, an approximate formula using a power law based on least-squares approximation is obtained. Then, based on the obtained approximate formula, the battery's lifespan information up to the desired lifespan is calculated. In other words, by focusing on the significant difference in battery performance between charge-discharge cycles and simple storage, and performing calculations separately, a significant improvement in lifespan estimation accuracy can be expected. Furthermore, by using a power law for the approximation formula, it is possible to perform approximations other than the square root rule, which is commonly used in battery lifespan estimation, depending on the situation. This also contributes to the expected improvement in lifespan estimation accuracy.

[2]上記[1]に記載の蓄電池の寿命推定装置において、前記蓄電池の電池状態値の実測値の個数が、前記蓄電池の寿命推定に十分な個数かを判定する判定値以上あるかを判定し、前記判定値以上との判定に基づいて前記寿命推定部を含む前記蓄電池の寿命推定処理を許容する推定可否判定部を備えてなる。 [2] The battery life estimation device described in [1] above includes an estimation feasibility determination unit that determines whether the number of measured battery state values of the battery is equal to or greater than a determination value for determining whether the number is sufficient for estimating the battery life, and allows the battery life estimation process, including the life estimation unit, based on the determination that it is equal to or greater than the determination value.

上記構成によれば、蓄電池の電池状態値の実測値が判定値以上の十分な個数がある場合に、蓄電池の寿命推定が行われる。このことでも、寿命推定精度の一層の向上が期待できる。 According to the above configuration, battery life estimation is performed when a sufficient number of measured battery state values are above the specified threshold. This further improves the accuracy of the life estimation.

[3]上記[1]又は[2]に記載の蓄電池の寿命推定装置において、前記寿命推定部は、前記近似式に基づき前記蓄電池の電池状態値の推定値を得るものであり、前記蓄電池の電池状態値の推定値が、前記蓄電池の電池状態値の実測値との相関係数が判定値以上の近似態様にあるかを判定し、前記判定値以上との判定に基づいて前記寿命推定部を含む前記蓄電池の寿命推定処理を許容する推定精度判定部を備えてなる。 [3] In the battery life estimation device described in [1] or [2] above, the life estimation unit obtains an estimated value of the battery state value of the battery based on the approximation formula, and includes an estimation accuracy determination unit that determines whether the estimated value of the battery state value of the battery is in an approximation pattern where the correlation coefficient with the measured value of the battery state value of the battery is equal to or greater than a determination value, and allows the battery life estimation process, including the life estimation unit, to proceed based on the determination that it is equal to or greater than the determination value.

上記構成によれば、蓄電池の電池状態値の推定値の実測値との相関係数が判定値以上の近似態様にある場合に、蓄電池の寿命推定が行われる。このことでも、寿命推定精度の一層の向上が期待できる。 According to the above configuration, battery life estimation is performed when the correlation coefficient between the estimated battery state value and the measured value is greater than or equal to a certain threshold. This further improves the accuracy of life estimation.

[4]上記[1]から[3]のいずれか1つに記載の蓄電池の寿命推定装置において、前記寿命推定部は、前記近似式に基づき前記蓄電池の電池状態値の推定値を得るものであり、前記蓄電池の電池状態値における最新の実測値とこれに対応する前記推定値との一致を条件に含み前記近似式の取得を行うように構成されている。 [4] In the battery life estimation device described in any one of [1] to [3] above, the life estimation unit obtains an estimated value of the battery state of the battery based on the approximation formula, and is configured to obtain the approximation formula with the condition that the latest measured value of the battery state of the battery matches the corresponding estimated value.

上記構成によれば、蓄電池の電池状態値の最新の実測値とこれに対応する推定値との一致を条件に含んで近似式の取得が行われ、蓄電池の寿命推定が行われる。最新の実測値と推定値とを一致させることは、寿命推定精度の向上に繋がる。 According to the above configuration, an approximation formula is obtained, including the condition that the latest measured battery state value of the storage battery matches the corresponding estimated value, and the storage battery's lifespan is estimated. Matching the latest measured value with the estimated value leads to an improvement in the accuracy of the lifespan estimation.

[5]上記[1]から[4]のいずれか1つに記載の蓄電池の寿命推定装置において、前記寿命推定部は、前記蓄電池の電池状態値における運用初期の実測値を除いて前記近似式の取得を行うように構成されている。 [5] In the battery life estimation device described in any one of [1] to [4] above, the life estimation unit is configured to acquire the approximate formula excluding the measured values of the battery state values of the battery during the initial stages of operation.

上記構成によれば、蓄電池の電池状態値の運用初期の実測値が除かれて近似式の取得が行われ、蓄電池の寿命推定が行われる。運用初期の古い実測値を除くことは、寿命推定精度の向上に繋がる。 According to the above configuration, the measured values of the battery's state during the initial stages of operation are excluded, and an approximate formula is obtained to estimate the battery's lifespan. Excluding older measured values from the initial stages of operation leads to an improvement in the accuracy of the lifespan estimation.

[6]上記課題を解決する蓄電池の寿命推定方法は、蓄電池の電池状態値の実測値から得る近似式に基づいて前記蓄電池の寿命推定を行う蓄電池の寿命推定方法であって、前記蓄電池の運用期間において充放電動作が行われた充放電サイクルに係るサイクル時間、及び前記充放電動作が行われていない保存経過に係る保存時間を算出し、前記蓄電池の電池状態値の実測値、前記サイクル時間、及び前記保存時間に基づいた最小二乗近似によるべき乗則の近似式の取得とともに、前記近似式に基づいて前記蓄電池の所望寿命までの寿命情報を算出する。 [6] A battery life estimation method for solving the above problems is a battery life estimation method that estimates the battery life based on an approximate formula obtained from measured values of the battery state value of the battery, and calculates the cycle time for charge-discharge cycles in which charge-discharge operations were performed during the battery's operating period, and the storage time for storage periods in which no charge-discharge operations were performed, and obtains an approximate formula of a power law using least-squares approximation based on the measured values of the battery state value, the cycle time, and the storage time, and calculates life information up to the desired life of the battery based on the approximate formula.

上記構成によれば、上記した蓄電池の寿命推定装置と同様に、寿命推定精度の向上が十分に期待できる。 With the above configuration, a significant improvement in the accuracy of battery life estimation can be expected, similar to the battery life estimation device described above.

本開示の蓄電池の寿命推定装置及び蓄電池の寿命推定方法によれば、寿命推定精度の向上を十分に期待することができる。 The battery life estimation device and battery life estimation method described herein offer a significant improvement in life estimation accuracy.

一実施形態における蓄電池及び寿命推定装置の構成図である。This is a diagram showing the configuration of a storage battery and a lifespan estimation device in one embodiment. 同実施形態における蓄電池の寿命推定に係るフロー図である。This is a flowchart illustrating the battery life estimation process in the same embodiment. 同実施形態における蓄電池の寿命推定に係る説明図である。This is an explanatory diagram relating to the estimation of the battery life in the same embodiment. 同実施形態における蓄電池の寿命推定に係る説明図である。This is an explanatory diagram relating to the estimation of the battery life in the same embodiment. 変更例における蓄電池の寿命推定に係る説明図である。This is an explanatory diagram regarding the estimation of battery life in the modified example. 比較例における蓄電池の寿命推定に係る説明図である。This is an explanatory diagram regarding the estimation of battery life in a comparative example.

以下、蓄電池の寿命推定装置及び蓄電池の寿命推定方法の一実施形態について図面を用いて説明する。
(蓄電池10の寿命推定を行う寿命推定装置20の全体構成)
図1には、本実施形態の蓄電池10及び寿命推定装置20を含む全体構成が示されている。蓄電池10は、例えば定置用リチウムイオン蓄電池である。蓄電池10は、太陽光発電等の再生可能エネルギーの有効利用や災害時の電力供給等を目的として設置されるものである。蓄電池10は、寿命推定装置20と電気的に接続されている。本実施形態の蓄電池10は、寿命推定装置20により電池状態の診断がなされ、寿命の推定が行われる。
Below, an embodiment of a battery life estimation device and a battery life estimation method will be described with reference to the drawings.
(Overall configuration of the lifespan estimation device 20 that estimates the lifespan of the storage battery 10)
Figure 1 shows the overall configuration of this embodiment, including the battery 10 and the life estimation device 20. The battery 10 is, for example, a stationary lithium-ion battery. The battery 10 is installed for purposes such as the effective utilization of renewable energy such as solar power generation and power supply during disasters. The battery 10 is electrically connected to the life estimation device 20. In this embodiment, the battery condition of the battery 10 is diagnosed by the life estimation device 20, and its lifespan is estimated.

寿命推定装置20は、蓄電池10に係る電池状態診断部30、推定可否判定部40、期間算出部50、寿命推定部60、推定精度算出部70、推定精度判定部80、及び記憶部90を備えている。また、記憶部90は、電池状態データ91、期間データ92、関係式データ93、寿命推定データ94、及び判定データ95をそれぞれ入出力可能に記憶する。なお、図1に示す矢印はデータの流れの主たるものであり、省略しているものもある。 The life estimation device 20 comprises a battery state diagnosis unit 30, an estimation feasibility determination unit 40, a period calculation unit 50, a life estimation unit 60, an estimation accuracy calculation unit 70, an estimation accuracy determination unit 80, and a storage unit 90 related to the storage battery 10. The storage unit 90 stores battery state data 91, period data 92, relational expression data 93, life estimation data 94, and determination data 95, respectively, in an input/output manner. Note that the arrows shown in Figure 1 represent the main data flow, and some are omitted.

(電池状態診断部30)
図1及び図4等に示すように、電池状態診断部30は、運用中の蓄電池10の現時点の電池状態値として蓄電池容量Qを測定する。蓄電池容量Qの測定は、所定タイミング毎に定期的に行われる。本実施形態の定期的な測定は、例えば1週間に1度決められた時刻に設定されている。蓄電池容量Qは、実測定値そのもの、若しくは実測定値の全容量に対する比率(本実施形態では容量維持率という)を含む。図4等では、蓄電池容量Qが容量維持率として示してある。また本実施形態では、蓄電池10の電池状態値を測るものとして蓄電池容量Qが用いられるが、蓄電池10の内部抵抗等、蓄電池10の電池状態値と相関のある他のパラメータを用いることもできる。電池状態診断部30にて定期的に測定される蓄電池容量Qの実測値Qx は、記憶部90に電池状態データ91として時刻情報と関連付けて順次格納され蓄積されていく。
(Battery status diagnosis unit 30)
As shown in Figures 1 and 4, the battery state diagnostic unit 30 measures the battery capacity Q as the current battery state value of the battery 10 in operation. The measurement of the battery capacity Q is performed periodically at predetermined intervals. In this embodiment, the periodic measurement is set, for example, once a week at a predetermined time. The battery capacity Q includes the actual measured value itself, or the ratio of the actual measured value to the total capacity (referred to as the capacity retention rate in this embodiment). In Figure 4, etc., the battery capacity Q is shown as the capacity retention rate. In this embodiment, the battery capacity Q is used to measure the battery state value of the battery 10, but other parameters correlated with the battery state value of the battery 10, such as the internal resistance of the battery 10, can also be used. The actual measured value Qx of the battery capacity Q, which is measured periodically by the battery state diagnostic unit 30, is sequentially stored and accumulated in the storage unit 90 as battery state data 91, associated with time information.

(推定可否判定部40)
図1、図3及び図4等に示すように、推定可否判定部40は、蓄電池10の寿命推定を行うか判断する。すなわち、推定可否判定部40は、蓄電池10の寿命推定に用いる十分な実測値Qx のデータがあるかを判定すべく、記憶部90に格納された蓄電池容量Qのデータの個数が判定値Na 以上あるかを判定する。蓄電池容量Qのデータの個数は、蓄電池10の寿命推定開始の時刻T0 、本実施形態では蓄電池10の運用開始時点の時刻から現時点の時刻Tnow までの所定期間中の数である。本実施形態の判定値Na は、例えば5[点]に設定されている。蓄電池10の寿命推定の十分な精度を担保するためには、最低でも5[点]の蓄電池容量Qのデータが必要と考えている。判定値Na は、記憶部90に判定データ95として格納されている。
(Estimation possibility determination unit 40)
As shown in Figures 1, 3, and 4, the estimation feasibility determination unit 40 determines whether to perform a lifespan estimation of the battery 10. That is, the estimation feasibility determination unit 40 determines whether there is sufficient measured value Qx data to be used for estimating the lifespan of the battery 10, by determining whether the number of battery capacity Q data stored in the storage unit 90 is equal to or greater than the determination value N a . The number of battery capacity Q data is the number during a predetermined period from the start time T0 of the battery 10 lifespan estimation to the current time T now in this embodiment. In this embodiment, the determination value N a is set to, for example, 5 [points]. It is believed that at least 5 [points] of battery capacity Q data are necessary to ensure sufficient accuracy in estimating the lifespan of the battery 10. The determination value N a is stored in the storage unit 90 as determination data 95.

(期間算出部50)
期間算出部50は、運用期間中の蓄電池10に係る合計時間tsum 、サイクル時間tcyc 、保存時間tst 、及び時間比率Aを算出する。合計時間tsum は、上記した時刻T0 から時刻Tnow まで全時間である。サイクル時間tcyc は、蓄電池10の充放電動作が行われた充放電サイクルに係る時間である。保存時間tst は、蓄電池10の充放電動作が行われていない単なる保存経過に係る時間である。合計時間tsum は、サイクル時間tcyc と保存時間tst とを加算した時間でもあり、tsum =tcyc +tst で表せる。時間比率Aは、サイクル時間tcyc と保存時間tst との比率であり、A=tst /tcyc で表せる。
(Period calculation unit 50)
The period calculation unit 50 calculates the total time t sum , cycle time t cyc , storage time t st , and time ratio A related to the battery 10 during the operating period. The total time t sum is the total time from time T 0 to time T now . The cycle time t cyc is the time related to the charge-discharge cycle in which the battery 10 is charged and discharged. The storage time t st is the time simply spent in storage when the battery 10 is not charged or discharged. The total time t sum is the sum of the cycle time t cyc and the storage time t st , and can be expressed as t sum = t cyc + t st . The time ratio A is the ratio of the cycle time t cyc to the storage time t st , and can be expressed as A = t st / t cyc .

期間算出部50は、運用中の蓄電池10の入出力電流Iが判定値±Ia (図3参照)以上の変化であるときは充放電サイクルに係るサイクル時間tcyc として計時する。本実施形態の判定値±Ia は、例えば±1[A]に設定されている。一方で、蓄電池10の入出力電流Iが判定値±Ia 未満の変化であるときは単なる保存経過に係る保存時間tst として計時する。その時々で生じるサイクル時間tcyc 及び保存時間tst はそれぞれにおいて積算される。ちなみに、合計時間tsum 、サイクル時間tcyc 、及び保存時間tst はそれぞれ計時してもよいが、いずれか2つを計時し残り1つを算出することでもよい。合計時間tsum 、サイクル時間tcyc 、保存時間tst 、及び時間比率Aは、記憶部90に期間データ92としてそれぞれ格納される。 The period calculation unit 50 measures the cycle time t cyc related to the charge-discharge cycle when the input/output current I of the battery 10 in operation changes by a determination value ±I a (see Figure 3). In this embodiment, the determination value ±I a is set to, for example, ±1 [A]. On the other hand, when the input/output current I of the battery 10 changes by less than the determination value ±I a, it measures the storage time t st related to the mere storage period. The cycle time t cyc and storage time t st that occur at each time are accumulated. Incidentally, the total time t sum , cycle time t cyc , and storage time t st may be measured individually, but any two of them may be measured and the remaining one calculated. The total time t sum , cycle time t cyc , storage time t st , and time ratio A are stored in the storage unit 90 as period data 92.

(寿命推定部60)
寿命推定部60は、上記した時刻T0 から現時点の時刻Tnow までの時間範囲における蓄電池容量Q、サイクル時間tcyc 、及び保存時間tst のデータに基づいて、最小二乗近似による次式[数1]のべき乗則の近似式を得る。つまり、近似式の係数Q0 ,k1 ,k2 ,α1 ,α2 が算出される。また、係数Q0 ,k1 ,k2 ,α1 ,α2 の算出とともに、蓄電池容量Qの推定値Qa も算出される。
(Life estimation section 60)
The life estimation unit 60 obtains an approximate power law formula [Equation 1] using least squares approximation based on the data of battery capacity Q, cycle time t cyc , and storage time t st within the time range from the above- mentioned time T 0 to the current time T now. In other words, the coefficients Q 0 , k 1 , k 2 , α 1 , and α 2 of the approximate formula are calculated. In addition, along with the calculation of the coefficients Q 0 , k 1 , k 2 , α 1 , and α 2 , the estimated value Q a of the battery capacity Q is also calculated.

上記式[数1]はすなわち、[蓄電池容量Qの推定値Qa ]=[係数Q0 (蓄電池容量Qの初期値)]-[係数k1 ,α1 を有するサイクル時間tcyc のべき乗値]-[係数k2 ,α2 を有する保存時間tst のべき乗値]である。上記式[数1]は、記憶部90に関係式データ93として格納されている。後述の式[数2]から式[数5]等の寿命推定に係る各種式においても、記憶部90に関係式データ93として格納されている。 The above equation [Equation 1] is equivalent to [Estimated battery capacity Q a ] = [Coefficient Q0 (initial value of battery capacity Q)] - [Power of cycle time t cyc with coefficients k1 and α1 ] - [Power of storage time t st with coefficients k2 and α2 ]. The above equation [Equation 1] is stored in the memory unit 90 as relational equation data 93. Various equations related to life estimation, such as equations [Equation 2] to equation [Equation 5] described later, are also stored in the memory unit 90 as relational equation data 93.

本実施形態の蓄電池10の寿命推定に用いる上記式[数1]は、蓄電池10の充放電サイクルに係るサイクル時間tcyc の項と、単なる保存経過に係る保存時間tst の項とに分けた式の構成となっている。本発明者は、充放電サイクルに係る蓄電池10の性能低下と、単なる保存経過に係る性能低下とが異なると考えているためである。また、蓄電池10の運用時間(時間そのもの、若しくはサイクル数を含む)の平方根が蓄電池容量と比例関係にあることを利用する所謂ルート則、すなわち係数α1 ,α2 が「1/2」のみならず、係数α1 ,α2 がその他の実数も含む「べき乗則」の式の構成としている。蓄電池10の状況によってはルート則よりも近似させることができると考えているためである。こうして、算出された蓄電池容量Qの推定値Qa についても、記憶部90に寿命推定データ94として順次格納される。 The above formula [Equation 1] used to estimate the lifespan of the battery 10 in this embodiment is structured by dividing it into a term for the cycle time t cyc related to the charge-discharge cycle of the battery 10 and a term for the storage time t st related to the mere storage period. This is because the inventors believe that the performance degradation of the battery 10 related to the charge-discharge cycle is different from the performance degradation related to the mere storage period. Furthermore, the formula is structured as a so-called root law, which utilizes the fact that the square root of the operating time of the battery 10 (including the time itself or the number of cycles) is proportional to the battery capacity, that is, a "power law" in which the coefficients α1 and α2 are not only "1/2" but also other real numbers. This is because the inventors believe that this can provide a better approximation than the root law depending on the condition of the battery 10. The estimated value Qa of the battery capacity Q calculated in this way is also sequentially stored in the storage unit 90 as lifespan estimation data 94.

(推定精度算出部70)
推定精度算出部70は、蓄電池容量Qの推定値Qa と実測値Qx との相関係数rを算出する。
(Estimated accuracy calculation unit 70)
The estimation accuracy calculation unit 70 calculates the correlation coefficient r between the estimated value Qa and the measured value Qx of the battery capacity Q.

(推定精度判定部80)
推定精度判定部80は、相関係数rが判定値ra 以上か、すなわち所望以上に推定値Qa が実測値Qx に近似しているかを判定する。本実施形態の判定値ra は、例えば「0.95」に設定されている。本実施形態の判定値ra は、記憶部90に判定データ95として格納されている。相関係数rが判定値ra 未満の場合、推定精度判定部80は、上記寿命推定部60にて算出した蓄電池容量Qの推定値Qa の実測値Qx との近似が所望未満であるとし、推定精度が不良と判定する。一方で、相関係数rが判定値ra 以上となると、推定精度判定部80は、上記寿命推定部60にて算出した蓄電池容量Qの推定値Qa の実測値Qx との近似が所望以上であるとし、推定精度が良好と判定する。
(Estimation accuracy determination unit 80)
The estimation accuracy determination unit 80 determines whether the correlation coefficient r is greater than or equal to the determination value r a , that is, whether the estimated value Q a approximates the measured value Q x to the desired extent. In this embodiment, the determination value r a is set to, for example, "0.95". In this embodiment, the determination value r a is stored in the storage unit 90 as determination data 95. If the correlation coefficient r is less than the determination value r a , the estimation accuracy determination unit 80 determines that the approximation of the estimated value Q a of the battery capacity Q calculated by the life estimation unit 60 to the measured value Q x is less than desired, and determines that the estimation accuracy is poor. On the other hand, if the correlation coefficient r is greater than or equal to the determination value r a , the estimation accuracy determination unit 80 determines that the approximation of the estimated value Q a of the battery capacity Q calculated by the life estimation unit 60 to the measured value Q x is better than desired, and determines that the estimation accuracy is good.

推定精度が不良と判定された場合、上記の寿命推定部60は、時刻T0 から次のデータのある時刻T0 に時間範囲を変更し、変更した時刻T0 から時刻Tnow までの時間範囲にて、蓄電池容量Qの推定値Qa と実測値Qx との相関係数rを算出し直す。つまり、最も古いデータが除かれる。そして、相関係数rが判定値ra 以上となること、すなわち推定精度が良好と判定されることを目指して、上記した判定及び算出動作が繰り返し行われる。これが繰り返されることで、古いデータが順次除かれていく。もちろん、蓄電池容量Qのデータの個数は、判定値Na 以上となる範囲内で行われるものである。 If the estimation accuracy is determined to be poor, the life estimation unit 60 changes the time range from time T0 to time T0 ' where the next data is available, and recalculates the correlation coefficient r between the estimated value Qa and the measured value Qx of the battery capacity Q for the time range from the changed time T0 ' to time Tnow . In other words, the oldest data is removed. Then, the above judgment and calculation operations are repeated with the aim of making the correlation coefficient r equal to or greater than the judgment value ra , that is, determining that the estimation accuracy is good. As this is repeated, older data is sequentially removed. Of course, the number of data points for the battery capacity Q is kept within a range that is equal to or greater than the judgment value Na .

(寿命推定部60の各種算出処理)
ここで、寿命推定部60で用いた上記式[数1]に、時間比率A=tst /tcyc 、すなわちtst =A・tcyc を代入すると、次式[数2]となる。
(Various calculation processes of the life estimation unit 60)
Here, substituting the time ratio A = t st / t cyc , that is, t st = A・t cyc , into the above formula [Equation 1] used in the lifetime estimation unit 60, we obtain the following formula [Equation 2].

蓄電池10の推定サイクル寿命tcyc_end を算出するにあたり、上記式[数2]は次式[数3]のようになる。 In calculating the estimated cycle life t cyc_end of the storage battery 10, the above equation [Equation 2] becomes the following equation [Equation 3].

蓄電池10の寿命判定容量Qend を例えば容量維持率で60[%]と設定した場合、寿命推定に係る係数Q0 ,k1 ,k2 ,α1 ,α2 は上記式[数1]から得られることから、蓄電池10の推定サイクル寿命tcyc_end を上記式[数3]から得ることが可能である。すなわち、寿命推定部60は、上記式[数3]を用いて推定サイクル寿命tcyc_end を算出する。 If the life determination capacity Q end of the storage battery 10 is set to, for example, 60% in terms of capacity retention rate, the coefficients Q0 , k1 , k2 , α1 , and α2 related to life estimation can be obtained from the above formula [Equation 1], and the estimated cycle life t cyc_end of the storage battery 10 can be obtained from the above formula [Equation 3]. That is, the life estimation unit 60 calculates the estimated cycle life t cyc_end using the above formula [Equation 3].

合計時間tsum はtsum =tcyc +tst であることから、時刻T0 (場合によっては時刻T0 )から寿命判定容量Qend に到達する時刻Tend までの推定寿命tsum_end は次式[数4]のようになる。 Since the total time t sum is given by t sum = t cyc + t st , the estimated lifetime t sum_end from time T 0 (or possibly time T 0 ' ) to time T end when the lifetime determination capacity Q end is reached is given by the following equation [Equation 4].

さらに、上記式[数4]を時間比率A=tst /tcyc 、すなわちtst =A・tcyc を用いて変形し、上記式[数3]から得られた推定サイクル寿命tcyc_end を代入することで、推定寿命tsum_end を得ることが可能である。すなわち、寿命推定部60は、上記式[数4]を用いて推定寿命tsum_end を算出する。 Furthermore, by rearranging the above equation [Equation 4] using the time ratio A = t st / t cyc , that is, t st = A・t cyc , and substituting the estimated cycle lifetime t cyc_end obtained from the above equation [Equation 3], it is possible to obtain the estimated lifetime t sum_end . In other words, the lifetime estimation unit 60 calculates the estimated lifetime t sum_end using the above equation [Equation 4].

上記式[4]から得られた推定寿命tsum_end は、時刻T0 から現時点の時刻Tnow までの運用時間tsum_now を減算する次式[数5]を用い、蓄電池10の残存合計時間tsum_rem を得ることが可能である。 The estimated lifespan t sum_end obtained from equation [4] above can be used to obtain the total remaining time t sum_rem of the battery 10 by subtracting the operating time t sum_now from time T0 to the current time T now , as shown in equation [5].

寿命推定部60は、上記式[数5]を用いて蓄電池10の残存合計時間tsum_rem を算出する。そして、寿命推定装置20は、蓄電池10の残存合計時間tsum_rem 等の算出結果を図示略の表示装置による表示、若しくは関係機器に対して結果を出力し、寿命推定処理を終了する。 The life estimation unit 60 calculates the total remaining time t sum_rem of the battery 10 using the above formula [Equation 5]. The life estimation device 20 then displays the calculation results, such as the total remaining time t sum_rem of the battery 10, on a display device (not shown) or outputs the results to the relevant equipment, and terminates the life estimation process.

(蓄電池10の寿命推定に係る処理手順)
本実施形態の蓄電池10の寿命推定処理は、図2に示すフローに沿って行われる。
ステップS1では、蓄電池10の現時点の電池状態値として蓄電池容量Qの測定が行われる。蓄電池容量Qの測定は定期的に行われる。都度測定された蓄電池容量Qは、蓄電池10の寿命推定に用いられるものであり、測定時の時刻情報と関連付けられて記憶部90に蓄積される。
(Processing procedure for estimating the lifespan of the storage battery 10)
The battery life estimation process for the storage battery 10 in this embodiment is performed according to the flow shown in Figure 2.
In step S1, the battery capacity Q is measured as the current battery state value of the storage battery 10. The battery capacity Q is measured periodically. The battery capacity Q measured each time is used to estimate the lifespan of the storage battery 10 and is stored in the storage unit 90 in association with the time information of the measurement.

ステップS2では、記憶部90に格納された蓄電池容量Qのデータの個数が判定値Na 以上あるかが判定される。蓄電池10の寿命推定精度を担保できる十分なデータがあるかが判定される。本処理は、蓄電池容量Qのデータの個数が判定値Na 以上ある場合に限りステップS3に進む。 In step S2, it is determined whether the number of data entries for the battery capacity Q stored in the memory unit 90 is equal to or greater than the determination value N a . It is determined whether there is sufficient data to ensure the accuracy of the battery life estimation for the battery 10. This process proceeds to step S3 only if the number of data entries for the battery capacity Q is equal to or greater than the determination value N a .

ステップS3では、蓄電池10の充放電サイクルに係るサイクル時間tcyc 、単なる保存経過に係る保存時間tst 、蓄電池10の運用に係る合計時間tsum 、及び時間比率Aがそれぞれ算出される。 In step S3, the cycle time t cyc related to the charge-discharge cycle of the battery 10, the storage time t st related to the simple storage process, the total time t sum related to the operation of the battery 10, and the time ratio A are calculated.

ステップS4では、上記式[数1]を用いた最小二乗近似にて、蓄電池10の現時点の寿命推定に係る上記式[数1]の係数Q0 ,k1 ,k2 ,α1 ,α2 、及び蓄電池容量Qの推定値Qa が算出される。 In step S4, the coefficients Q0 , k1 , k2 , α1 , α2 of the above formula [Equation 1] related to the current lifespan estimation of the storage battery 10, and the estimated value Qa of the storage battery capacity Q are calculated using the least squares approximation with the above formula [Equation 1].

ステップS5では、蓄電池容量Qの推定値Qa と実測値Qx との相関係数rが算出される。
ステップS6では、相関係数rが判定値ra 以上か、すなわち所望以上に推定値Qa が実測値Qx に近似しているかが判定される。相関係数rが判定値ra 未満、すなわち蓄電池容量Qの推定値Qa の実測値Qx との近似が所望未満となった場合、推定精度が不良と判定される。本処理はステップS7に進む。
In step S5, the correlation coefficient r between the estimated value Qa and the measured value Qx of the battery capacity is calculated.
In step S6, it is determined whether the correlation coefficient r is greater than or equal to the judgment value r a , that is, whether the estimated value Q a approximates the measured value Q x to the desired extent. If the correlation coefficient r is less than the judgment value r a , that is, if the approximation of the estimated battery capacity Q a to the measured value Q x is less than desired, the estimation accuracy is determined to be poor. This process proceeds to step S7.

ステップS7では、時刻T0 から次のデータのある時刻T0 に時間範囲が変更され、さらに上記ステップS2からステップS6が繰り返される。つまり、最も古いデータを除きながら蓄電池容量Qの推定値Qa と実測値Qx との相関係数rが算出し直されて、相関係数rが判定値ra 以上、すなわち推定精度が良好と判定されることを目指す処理が繰り返される。なおこの繰り返し処理にステップS2が含まれることで、判定値Na 以上の蓄電池容量Qのデータの個数が担保される。 In step S7, the time range is changed from time T0 to time T0 ' where the next data is available, and steps S2 to S6 are repeated. In other words, the correlation coefficient r between the estimated value Qa and the measured value Qx of the battery capacity is recalculated while excluding the oldest data, and the process is repeated with the aim of determining that the correlation coefficient r is equal to or greater than the judgment value ra , i.e., that the estimation accuracy is good. Note that the inclusion of step S2 in this repeated process ensures that there are enough data points for battery capacity Q that are equal to or greater than the judgment value Na .

上記ステップS6において、相関係数rが判定値ra 以上、すなわち蓄電池容量Qの推定値Qa の実測値Qx との近似が所望以上となると、推定精度が良好と判定される。本処理は、ステップS8に進む。 In step S6 above, if the correlation coefficient r is greater than or equal to the judgment value r a , that is, if the approximation of the estimated battery capacity Q a with the measured value Q x is better than desired, the estimation accuracy is judged to be good. This process proceeds to step S8.

ステップS8では、上記式[数3]を用い、蓄電池10の推定サイクル寿命tcyc_end が算出される。蓄電池10が寿命判定容量Qend に到達するまでの充放電サイクルに係る時間が算出される。 In step S8, the estimated cycle life t cyc_end of the battery 10 is calculated using the above formula [Equation 3]. The time required for charge-discharge cycles until the battery 10 reaches its life determination capacity Q end is calculated.

ステップS9では、上記式[数4]を用い、蓄電池10の推定寿命tsum_end が算出される。蓄電池10が寿命判定容量Qend に到達するまでの合計時間が算出される。
ステップS10では、上記式[数5]を用い、推定寿命tsum_end から運用時間tsum_now の減算による蓄電池10の残存合計時間tsum_rem が算出される。つまり、蓄電池10が寿命判定容量Qend に到達するまでの残存合計時間tsum_rem が把握でき、蓄電池10のメンテナンス、交換等の検討に活かすことが可能となる。
In step S9, the estimated lifespan t sum_end of the battery 10 is calculated using the above formula [Equation 4]. The total time until the battery 10 reaches its lifespan determination capacity Q end is calculated.
In step S10, the total remaining time tsum_rem of the battery 10 is calculated by subtracting the operating time tsum_now from the estimated lifespan tsum_end using the above formula [Equation 5]. In other words, the total remaining time tsum_rem until the battery 10 reaches its lifespan determination capacity Q end can be determined, and this can be used to consider maintenance, replacement, etc. of the battery 10.

(本実施形態の作用)
本実施形態の作用について説明する。
本実施形態の蓄電池10の寿命推定では、上記式[数1]にて表される最小二乗近似を含む算出手法が用いられることで、残存合計時間tsum_rem の精度向上が十分に期待できる。本実施形態で用いる式[数1]は、蓄電池10の充放電サイクルに係るサイクル時間tcyc の項と、保存経過に係る保存時間tst の項とが分けられている。充放電サイクルと単なる保存経過とでは蓄電池10の性能が大きく異なるため、個別に算出を進めることは寿命推定精度の向上に十分に寄与するものと考えている。また、式[数1]は、蓄電池10の寿命推定で一般的に用いられるルート則のみならず、ルート則以外の近似も行えるようにしている。このことでも、寿命推定精度の向上に寄与できるものと考えている。
(Operation of this embodiment)
The operation of this embodiment will now be described.
In this embodiment, the lifespan estimation of the battery 10 is performed using a calculation method that includes the least-squares approximation expressed by the above formula [Equation 1], which is expected to significantly improve the accuracy of the remaining total time t sum_rem . The formula [Equation 1] used in this embodiment separates the term for the cycle time t cyc related to the charge-discharge cycle of the battery 10 from the term for the storage time t st related to the storage period. Since the performance of the battery 10 differs greatly between the charge-discharge cycle and the simple storage period, we believe that performing the calculations separately will significantly contribute to improving the accuracy of the lifespan estimation. Furthermore, formula [Equation 1] is designed to allow not only the square root rule, which is commonly used in the lifespan estimation of the battery 10, but also approximations other than the square root rule. We believe that this also contributes to improving the accuracy of the lifespan estimation.

本実施形態の寿命推定手法を用いると、図4に示すように、蓄電池10の蓄電池容量Qの推定値Qa と実測値Qx とは、運用初期から寿命末期までの全時間において十分に近似する。特に蓄電池10が寿命判定容量Qend に到達する寿命末期では推定値Qa と実測値Qx とが乖離し易いものの、本実施形態では互いの誤差時間ta は十分小さく抑えられる。 As shown in Figure 4, using the life estimation method of this embodiment, the estimated value Qa and the measured value Qx of the battery capacity Q of the battery 10 are sufficiently similar throughout the entire period from the beginning of operation to the end of life. In particular, although the estimated value Qa and the measured value Qx tend to diverge at the end of life when the battery 10 reaches the life determination capacity Q end , in this embodiment the error time ta between them is kept sufficiently small.

これに対し、蓄電池10の運用時間を分けない一般的なルート則を用いる比較例の寿命推定手法では、図6に示すように、蓄電池10の蓄電池容量Qの推定値Qa と実測値Qx とは運用中期で近似しているものの、それでも本実施形態の方が優れている。また、運用初期に推定値Qa と実測値Qx との間で若干の乖離が見られる。特に寿命判定容量Qend に到達する寿命末期に至っては推定値Qa と実測値Qx との乖離は非常に大きく、互いの誤差時間tx は非常に大きい。 In contrast, in the comparative example's life estimation method, which uses a general square root rule that does not differentiate the operating time of the battery 10, as shown in Figure 6, although the estimated value Qa and the measured value Qx of the battery capacity Q of the battery 10 approximate each other in the middle of operation, this embodiment is still superior. Furthermore, a slight discrepancy is observed between the estimated value Qa and the measured value Qx in the early stages of operation. In particular, at the end of life when the life determination capacity Qend is reached, the discrepancy between the estimated value Qa and the measured value Qx is very large, and the error time tx between them is very large.

このように比較例と比べても、本実施形態の蓄電池10の寿命推定手法を用いることで、特に精度悪化に繋がる寿命末期も含めて、寿命推定精度の向上が十分に図れるものと言える。 Thus, compared to the comparative example, the battery life estimation method of this embodiment can be used to significantly improve the accuracy of battery life estimation, especially in the end-of-life stage where accuracy tends to deteriorate.

(本実施形態の効果)
本実施形態の効果について説明する。
(1)蓄電池10の運用期間中の充放電サイクルに係るサイクル時間tcyc と、保存経過に係る保存時間tst とを分けて算出が行われる。次いで、蓄電池10の電池状態値として用いる蓄電池容量Qの実測値Qx 、サイクル時間tcyc 、及び保存時間tst に基づいて、最小二乗近似によるべき乗則の近似式(上記[数1]に示す近似式)の取得が行われる。そして、取得した近似式に基づいて、蓄電池10の所望寿命である寿命判定容量Qend までの寿命情報(本実施形態では蓄電池10の推定サイクル寿命tcyc_end 、推定寿命tsum_end 、及び残存合計時間tsum_rem )の算出が行われる。つまり、充放電サイクルと単なる保存経過とでは蓄電池10の性能が大きく異なることに着目し、個別に算出を進めることは寿命推定精度の向上を十分に期待することができる。また、近似式をべき乗則とすることで、蓄電池10の寿命推定で一般的に用いられるルート則のみならず、状況に応じてルート則以外の近似も行うことが可能である。このことでも、寿命推定精度の向上を期待することができる。
(Effects of this embodiment)
The effects of this embodiment will now be explained.
(1) The cycle time t cyc related to the charge-discharge cycle during the operation period of the storage battery 10 and the storage time t st related to the storage period are calculated separately. Next, based on the measured value Qx of the storage battery capacity Q used as the battery state value of the storage battery 10, the cycle time t cyc , and the storage time t st , an approximate formula of the power law using least squares approximation (the approximate formula shown in [Equation 1] above) is obtained. Then, based on the obtained approximate formula, life information up to the life determination capacity Q end , which is the desired lifespan of the storage battery 10 (in this embodiment, the estimated cycle life t cyc_end , estimated life t sum_end , and remaining total time t sum_rem of the storage battery 10) is calculated. In other words, by focusing on the fact that the performance of the storage battery 10 differs greatly between the charge-discharge cycle and the simple storage period, and proceeding with the calculations separately, it is possible to expect a significant improvement in the accuracy of life estimation. Furthermore, by using a power law for the approximate formula, it is possible to perform approximations other than the square root law, depending on the situation, in addition to the square root law that is commonly used in the life estimation of the storage battery 10. This also allows us to expect an improvement in the accuracy of lifespan estimation.

(2)蓄電池10の電池状態値として用いる蓄電池容量Qの実測値Qx が判定値Na 以上の十分な個数がある場合に図2のステップS2からステップS3以降に処理が進み、蓄電池10の寿命推定が行われる。このことでも、寿命推定精度の一層の向上が期待できる。 (2) If there are a sufficient number of measured values Qx of the battery capacity Q used as the battery state value of the storage battery 10 that are equal to or greater than the judgment value N a , the process proceeds from step S2 in Figure 2 to step S3 and beyond, and the lifespan of the storage battery 10 is estimated. This also allows for further improvement in the accuracy of lifespan estimation.

(3)蓄電池10の電池状態値として用いる蓄電池容量Qの推定値Qa の実測値Qx との相関係数rが判定値ra 以上の近似態様にある場合に図2のステップS6からステップS7以降に処理が進み、蓄電池10の寿命推定が行われる。本実施形態では、蓄電池10の運用初期の時刻T0 から順に古いデータが除かれつつ寿命推定が行われる。このことでも、寿命推定精度の一層の向上が期待できる。 (3) When the correlation coefficient r between the estimated value Qa of the battery capacity Q used as the battery state value of the battery 10 and the measured value Qx is in an approximate state of being greater than or equal to the judgment value ra, the process proceeds from step S6 to step S7 and beyond in Figure 2, and the lifespan of the battery 10 is estimated. In this embodiment, the lifespan is estimated by sequentially removing older data starting from the initial time T0 of operation of the battery 10. This also allows for further improvement in the accuracy of the lifespan estimation.

(変更例)
本実施形態は、以下のように変更して実施することができる。本実施形態及び以下の変更例は、技術的に矛盾しない範囲で互いに組み合わせて実施することができる。
(Example of change)
This embodiment can be implemented with the following modifications. This embodiment and the following modifications can be combined with each other to the extent that they do not contradict each other technically.

・上記した数値及び数式は一例であり、適宜変更してもよい。
・蓄電池10の運用時間は時間そのもの、若しくはサイクル数を含むものである。
・蓄電池10の運用中の合計時間tsum 、サイクル時間tcyc 、及び保存時間tst はそれぞれ個別の計時にて算出してもよく、いずれか2つを計時し残り1つを算出してもよい。
The numerical values and formulas mentioned above are examples only and may be changed as appropriate.
The operating time of the battery 10 includes either the time itself or the number of cycles.
- The total operating time t sum , cycle time t cyc , and storage time t st of the battery 10 may be calculated by individual timing, or any two of them may be timing and the remaining one calculated.

・寿命推定の算出に用いる蓄電池10の電池状態値として蓄電池容量Qを用いたが、蓄電池10の内部抵抗等、蓄電池10の電池状態値と相関のある他のパラメータを用いてもよい。 • Although the battery capacity Q was used as the battery state value of the battery 10 for calculating the lifespan, other parameters correlated with the battery state value of the battery 10, such as the internal resistance of the battery 10, may also be used.

・寿命推定の算出において、上記実施形態では特に言及していなかったが、図5に示すように、時刻Tnow の実測値Qx 、すなわち最新の実測値Qx と推定値Qa とを一致させるのを条件としてもよい。このように最新の実測値Qx と推定値Qa とを一致させることで、寿命推定精度の向上を図ることができる。 - In calculating the lifetime estimate, although not specifically mentioned in the above embodiment, as shown in Figure 5, it may be a condition that the measured value Qx at time T now , i.e., the latest measured value Qx , matches the estimated value Qa . By matching the latest measured value Qx with the estimated value Qa in this way, the accuracy of the lifetime estimate can be improved.

・寿命推定を時刻T0 から現時点の時刻Tnow までの間で取得したデータに基づいて行う態様であったが、図5に示すように、蓄電池10の運用初期の時刻T0 から例えば時刻Ta までの古いデータを除いて蓄電池10の寿命推定を行ってもよい。時刻Ta は蓄電池10の運用開始時点から一定間隔を空けて設定される時刻であってもよく、また現時点の時刻Tnow と合わせて変動する時刻であってもよい。蓄電池10の寿命末期と比較的大きく変化態様の異なる運用初期の古いデータを除くことで、特に寿命末期での推定値Qa と実測値Qx との誤差時間tb をより小さく抑えることに繋がる。このようにすれば、寿命推定精度の向上を図ることができる。 - While the lifespan estimation was previously based on data acquired from time T0 to the current time Tnow , as shown in Figure 5, the lifespan estimation of the battery 10 may also be performed by excluding older data from time T0 at the beginning of the battery 10's operation to, for example, time Ta . Time Ta may be set at a fixed interval from the start of the battery 10's operation, or it may be a time that fluctuates in conjunction with the current time Tnow . By excluding older data from the early stages of operation, which have a relatively different pattern of change compared to the end of the battery 10's lifespan, it is possible to further reduce the error time tb between the estimated value Qa and the measured value Qx , especially at the end of the lifespan. In this way, the accuracy of the lifespan estimation can be improved.

・所望寿命までの寿命情報として、蓄電池10の推定サイクル寿命tcyc_end 、推定寿命tsum_end 、残存合計時間tsum_rem の全部の算出及び表示等を行ってもよく、少なくとも1つの算出及び表示等を行ってもよい。また、寿命情報として時間以外で表現可能としてもよい。 - As lifespan information up to the desired lifespan, the estimated cycle life t cyc_end , estimated lifespan t sum_end , and remaining total time t sum_rem of the storage battery 10 may all be calculated and displayed, or at least one of them may be calculated and displayed. In addition, lifespan information may be expressed in a manner other than time.

・蓄電池10は、定置用リチウムイオン蓄電池以外の構成のものであってもよい。
・蓄電池10は、太陽光発電以外の再生可能エネルギー発電設備に併用されるものであってもよい。
The storage battery 10 may have a configuration other than a stationary lithium-ion storage battery.
The battery 10 may also be used in conjunction with renewable energy power generation equipment other than solar power generation.

(付記)
上記実施形態及び変更例から把握できる技術的思想について記載する。
(イ)べき乗則の近似式は、
[蓄電池の電池状態値の推定値]=[蓄電池の電池状態値の初期値]-[蓄電池のサイクル時間のべき乗値]-[蓄電池の保存時間のべき乗値]である、
蓄電池の寿命推定装置。
(Note)
The technical concepts that can be understood from the above embodiments and modified examples are described below.
(i) The approximate formula for the power law is:
The estimated battery state value is calculated as follows: [Initial battery state value] - [Power of battery cycle time] - [Power of battery storage time].
Battery life estimation device.

(ロ)べき乗則の近似式は、
[蓄電池の電池状態値の推定値]=[蓄電池の電池状態値の初期値]-[蓄電池のサイクル時間のべき乗値]-[蓄電池の保存時間のべき乗値]である、
蓄電池の寿命推定方法。
(b) The approximate formula for the power law is:
The estimated battery state value is calculated as follows: [Initial battery state value] - [Power of battery cycle time] - [Power of battery storage time].
Method for estimating the lifespan of a storage battery.

10…蓄電池
20…寿命推定装置
30…電池状態診断部
40…推定可否判定部
50…期間算出部
60…寿命推定部
70…推定精度算出部
80…推定精度判定部
90…記憶部
91…電池状態データ
92…期間データ
93…関係式データ
94…寿命推定データ
95…判定データ
Q…蓄電池容量(電池状態値)
x …実測値
a …推定値
cyc …サイクル時間
st …保存時間
cyc_end …推定サイクル寿命(寿命情報)
sum_end …推定寿命(寿命情報)
sum_rem …残存合計時間(寿命情報)
r…相関係数
a …判定値
a …判定値
10...Battery 20...Life Estimation Device 30...Battery Status Diagnosis Unit 40...Estimation Feasibility Determination Unit 50...Period Calculation Unit 60...Life Estimation Unit 70...Estimation Accuracy Calculation Unit 80...Estimation Accuracy Determination Unit 90...Storage Unit 91...Battery Status Data 92...Period Data 93...Relational Expression Data 94...Life Estimation Data 95...Determination Data Q...Battery Capacity (Battery Status Value)
Qx ... Measured value Qa ... Estimated value t cyc ... Cycle time t st ... Storage time t cyc_end ... Estimated cycle lifetime (lifetime information)
t sum_end …Estimated lifespan (lifespan information)
t sum_rem ... Total remaining time (lifespan information)
r...correlation coefficient r a ...decision value N a ...decision value

Claims (6)

蓄電池の電池状態値の実測値から得る近似式に基づいて前記蓄電池の寿命推定を行う蓄電池の寿命推定装置であって、
前記蓄電池の運用期間において充放電動作が行われた充放電サイクルに係るサイクル時間、及び前記充放電動作が行われていない保存経過に係る保存時間を算出する期間算出部と、
前記蓄電池の電池状態値の実測値、前記サイクル時間、及び前記保存時間に基づいた最小二乗近似によるべき乗則の近似式の取得とともに、前記近似式に基づいて前記蓄電池の所望寿命までの寿命情報を算出する寿命推定部と、を備えてなる、
蓄電池の寿命推定装置。
A battery life estimation device that estimates the life of a storage battery based on an approximate formula obtained from measured values of the battery state of the storage battery,
A period calculation unit calculates the cycle time for charge-discharge cycles in which charge-discharge operations were performed during the operating period of the storage battery, and the storage time for storage periods in which no charge-discharge operations were performed.
The system comprises: a life estimation unit that obtains an approximate formula for a power law based on the measured battery state value of the storage battery, the cycle time, and the storage time using least-squares approximation, and calculates life information up to the desired life of the storage battery based on the approximate formula;
Battery life estimation device.
前記蓄電池の電池状態値の実測値の個数が、前記蓄電池の寿命推定に十分な個数かを判定する判定値以上あるかを判定し、前記判定値以上との判定に基づいて前記寿命推定部を含む前記蓄電池の寿命推定処理を許容する推定可否判定部を備えてなる、
請求項1に記載の蓄電池の寿命推定装置。
The system includes an estimation feasibility determination unit that determines whether the number of measured battery state values of the storage battery is equal to or greater than a determination value for determining whether the number is sufficient for estimating the lifespan of the storage battery, and that, based on the determination that it is equal to or greater than the determination value, allows the storage battery life estimation process, including the lifespan estimation unit, to proceed.
The battery life estimation device according to claim 1.
前記寿命推定部は、前記近似式に基づき前記蓄電池の電池状態値の推定値を得るものであり、
前記蓄電池の電池状態値の推定値が、前記蓄電池の電池状態値の実測値との相関係数が判定値以上の近似態様にあるかを判定し、前記判定値以上との判定に基づいて前記寿命推定部を含む前記蓄電池の寿命推定処理を許容する推定精度判定部を備えてなる、
請求項1に記載の蓄電池の寿命推定装置。
The life estimation unit obtains an estimated value of the battery state value of the storage battery based on the approximation formula,
The system includes an estimation accuracy determination unit that determines whether the estimated value of the battery state value of the storage battery is in an approximate state where the correlation coefficient with the measured value of the battery state value of the storage battery is greater than or equal to a determination value, and that permits the battery life estimation process, including the life estimation unit, based on the determination that it is greater than or equal to the determination value.
The battery life estimation device according to claim 1.
前記寿命推定部は、前記近似式に基づき前記蓄電池の電池状態値の推定値を得るものであり、
前記蓄電池の電池状態値における最新の実測値とこれに対応する前記推定値との一致を条件に含み前記近似式の取得を行うように構成されている、
請求項1に記載の蓄電池の寿命推定装置。
The life estimation unit obtains an estimated value of the battery state value of the storage battery based on the approximation formula,
The system is configured to obtain the approximation formula, with the condition that the latest measured value of the battery state of the storage battery matches the corresponding estimated value.
The battery life estimation device according to claim 1.
前記寿命推定部は、前記蓄電池の電池状態値における運用初期の実測値を除いて前記近似式の取得を行うように構成されている、
請求項1に記載の蓄電池の寿命推定装置。
The life estimation unit is configured to obtain the approximate formula by excluding the measured values of the battery state values of the storage battery during the initial stages of operation.
The battery life estimation device according to claim 1.
蓄電池の電池状態値の実測値から得る近似式に基づいて前記蓄電池の寿命推定を行う蓄電池の寿命推定方法であって、
前記蓄電池の運用期間において充放電動作が行われた充放電サイクルに係るサイクル時間、及び前記充放電動作が行われていない保存経過に係る保存時間を算出し、
前記蓄電池の電池状態値の実測値、前記サイクル時間、及び前記保存時間に基づいた最小二乗近似によるべき乗則の近似式の取得とともに、前記近似式に基づいて前記蓄電池の所望寿命までの寿命情報を算出する、
蓄電池の寿命推定方法。
A method for estimating the lifespan of a storage battery, which estimates the lifespan of the storage battery based on an approximate formula obtained from measured values of the battery state of the storage battery,
The cycle time for charge-discharge cycles during the operation period of the aforementioned battery, and the storage time for storage periods during which no charge-discharge operations were performed are calculated.
Based on the measured battery state value of the storage battery, the cycle time, and the storage time, an approximate formula for a power law is obtained using least-squares approximation, and life information up to the desired lifespan of the storage battery is calculated based on the approximate formula.
Method for estimating the lifespan of a storage battery.
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