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公益社団法人 日本経済研究センター:Japan Center for Economic Research


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公益社団法人 日本経済研究センター:Japan Center for Economic Research
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    • Asia Consensus Survey

    Latest Report

    02/12(THU)
    JCER December 2025 Monthly GDP Estimate:▲0.7%
    02/09(MON)
    December: The Recession Indicator stood at 4.3%.
    01/26(MON)
    JCER Financial Stress Index stands at 0.012, released on January 26, 2026
  • Research
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    Latest Research Report

    11/07(FRI)
    [No.160] From LLMs to AGI: Quantifying the Macroeconomic Impact of Successive AI Waves on Global TFP
    10/28(TUE)
    Comparative Regimes in the Indo-Pacific Region
    10/07(TUE)
    Rising Synchronization of Super-Long-Term Interest Rates across Japan, the U.S., and Europe
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    • Fighting the COVID-19 crisis
    • Project 2060
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    • The Fourth Industrial Revolution in Japan
    • Redesigning of the the Japanese Economy
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    Latest Policy Proposals

    01/29(THU)
    88% of Economists Oppose Cutting the Consumption Tax on Food to Zero
    11/21(FRI)
    54% of Economists Say Easing One-Year Primary Balance Target Is Inappropriate
    09/29(MON)
    74% of Economists Favor Introducing an Earned Income Tax Credit
  • Column
    • Empty Mind after Ten Thousand Reasons
    • Japanese Economy Update
    • Ryu Ohsumi “That’s it ♪”
    • Global Econopolitics

    Latest Column

    01/20(TUE)
    How Can Japan Cope with the Risk of Rare-Earth Supply Disruption?
    12/19(FRI)
    What is a Company for?
    ~The Rise of Activism and the Significance of Articles of Incorporation
    12/18(THU)
    How are Japanese Households Coping with the Price Increases?
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      • Medium Term Economic Forecast
      • Long Term Economic Forecast
      • JCER Monthly GDP
      • JCER Financial Stress Index
      • JCER Recession Indicator
      • Equilibrium Exchange Rate
      • Asian Economic Forecast
      • Asia Consensus Survey
    • Research doropdown
      • Japan Financial Research
      • Asia Research
      • Research Staff Report
    • Policy Proposal doropdown
      • Economics Panel
      • Fighting the COVID-19 crisis
      • Project 2060
      • Vision 2050
      • The Fourth Industrial Revolution in Japan
      • Redesigning of the the Japanese Economy
      • Others
    • Discussion Paper doropdown
    • Column doropdown
      • Empty Mind after Ten Thousand Reasons
      • Japanese Economy Update
      • Ryu Ohsumi “That’s it ♪”
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Information

【Economics Panel】88% of Economists Oppose Cutting the Consumption Tax on Food to Zero

Accurate prediction and responsible recommendations
Information

Asian Economic Policy Review Vol. 21 Issue 1
The latest issue titled "Sustainable Finance in Asia"was published

Accurate prediction and responsible recommendations
Information

Medium-Term Forecast of Asian Economies (2025-2040)“Asia Sustains Growth Amid The Uncertainty of US Tariffs”

Accurate prediction and responsible recommendations
Information

2075: Next-Generation AI will revive the Japanese Economy - Long Term Economic Forecast Final Report

Accurate prediction and responsible recommendations
Information

Quarterly Forecast of the Japanese Economy(No.204/ 2025/10-12-2028/1-3)

Accurate prediction and responsible recommendations

TOPICS

  • Long Term Economic Forecast
  • Economics Panel
  • Economic Forecast
  • Monthly GDP Estimate

02/12

JCER December 2025 Monthly GDP Estimate:▲0.7%

  • Motohiro WATANABE
  • ESP Forecast
  • ESP Forecast

02/12

Real GDP Growth Outlook for Q4 2025 Revised Up to 1.48%

  • Publications
  • Asian Economic Policy Review

02/12

The latest issue titled "Sustainable Finance in Asia" (Vol. 21 Issue 1) was published.

  • Economic Forecast
  • Recession Indicator

02/09

December: The Recession Indicator stood at 4.3%. - Employment and corporate management conditions continue to improve, maintaining low levels

  • Motohiro WATANABE
  • Policy Proposals
  • Economics Panel

01/29

88% of Economists Oppose Cutting the Consumption Tax on Food to Zero

  • Economic Forecast
  • JCER Financial Stress Index

01/26

JCER Financial Stress Index stands at 0.012

  • Mayuko ABE
  • Takashi MIYAZAKI
  • Column
  • Japanese Economy Update

01/20

How Can Japan Cope with the Risk of Rare-Earth Supply Disruption?

  • Jun SAITO
  • Economic Forecast
  • Recession Indicator

01/13

November: The Recession Indicator stood at 1.7%. - Employment and household sentiment were strong, with the indicator staying low

  • Motohiro WATANABE
  • Economic Forecast
  • Monthly GDP Estimate

01/12

JCER November 2025 Monthly GDP Estimate:+0.9%

  • Motohiro WATANABE

Short Term Economic Forecast

SA204 Short-Term Forecast

  • Takemasa ODA
  • Tomoki MATSUO
  • Motohiro WATANABE

Medium Term Economic Forecast

Capturing Global Growth through International Cooperation and Accelerated Use of AI

  • Tatsuya ISHII
  • Tomoki MATSUO
  • Yutaro SHIMAMURA
  • Katsuaki OCHIAI

Long Term Economic Forecast

2075: Next-Generation AI will revive the Japanese Economy

  • Kazumasa IWATA
  • Hidenobu ISHIBASHI
  • Yuzuru FUKUSHI
  • Kengo TAHARA
  • Yuto KAJITA
  • Tomoki MATSUO
  • Mayuko ABE
  • Motohiro WATANABE
  • Hirofumi KAWASAKI
  • Katsuaki OCHIAI
  • Tetsuya HATTORI
  • Ryo HASUMI

Asian Economic Forecast

Asia Sustains Growth Amid The Uncertainty of US Tariffs

  • Toshihiro TONISHI
  • Akira TANAKA
  • Tamaki SAKURA
  • Eriko TAKAHASHI
  • Go YAMADA
  • Yasumasa SHIMIZU

Japan Financial Research

Rising Synchronization of Super-Long-Term Interest Rates across Japan, the U.S., and Europe

  • Ikuko FUEDA-SAMIKAWA
  • Masayuki KUBOTA

88% of Economists Oppose Cutting the Consumption Tax on Food to Zero

     

Monthly GDP Estimate

JCER December 2025 Monthly GDP Estimate:▲0.7%

  • Motohiro WATANABE

Recession Indicator

December: The Recession Indicator stood at 4.3%.

  • Motohiro WATANABE


Researcher

More

Kazumasa IWATA

Kazumasa IWATA

President

Takao KOMINE

Takao KOMINE

Senior Research Fellow

Jun SAITO

Jun SAITO

Senior Research Fellow

Heizo TAKENAKA

Heizo TAKENAKA

Senior Research Fellow

Haruhiko KURODA

Haruhiko KURODA

Senior Research Fellow

Fumio OHTAKE

Fumio OHTAKE

Senior Research Fellow

Ryu OHSUMI

Ryu OHSUMI

Executive Research Director

Ikuko FUEDA-SAMIKAWA

Ikuko FUEDA-SAMIKAWA

Director, Financial Research, Lead Economist, Deputy Executive Secretary

Atsushi IJUIN

Atsushi IJUIN

Lead Economist

Kenji YUASA

Kenji YUASA

Lead Economist

Takashi ONODERA

Takashi ONODERA

Lead Economist

Akira TANAKA

Akira TANAKA

Senior Economist

Go YAMADA

Go YAMADA

Principal Economist

Yuzuru FUKUSHI

Yuzuru FUKUSHI

Principal Economist

Mayuko ABE

Mayuko ABE

Senior Economist

Yasumasa SHIMIZU

Yasumasa SHIMIZU

Head of Asia Cooperation Office / Principal Economist

Tomoki MATSUO

Tomoki MATSUO

Senior Economist

Yuto KAJITA

Yuto KAJITA

Principal Economist

Takemasa ODA

Takemasa ODA

Chief Forecaster

Motohiro WATANABE

Motohiro WATANABE

Economist

Masayuki KUBOTA

Masayuki KUBOTA

Senior Economist

Toshihiro TONISHI

Toshihiro TONISHI

Principal Economist

Eriko TAKAHASHI

Eriko TAKAHASHI

Senior Economist

Hidenobu ISHIBASHI

Hidenobu ISHIBASHI

Principal Economist

Kengo TAHARA

Kengo TAHARA

Principal Economist

Takashi MIYAZAKI

Takashi MIYAZAKI

Principal Economist

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公益社団法人日本経済研究センター Japan Center for Economic Research

The Japan Center for Economic Research (JCER) is a nonprofit private research institute established in 1963 to contribute to the development of the Japanese economy. We are widely connected in academia, government, and industry, investigating and researching issues such as domestic and overseas financial, economic, industrial and management issues.

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Information

More

2026/02/13
Asian Economic Policy Review Vol. 21 Issue 1
The latest issue titled “Sustainable Finance in Asia”was published
2026/01/30
【Economics Panel】88% of Economists Oppose Cutting the Consumption Tax on Food to Zero
- Majority View a Weaker Yen and Higher Long-Term Interest Rates as Economic Headwinds
2025/12/17
Medium-Term Forecast of Asian Economies (2025-2040)
Asia Sustains Growth Amid The Uncertainty of US Tariffs
Information

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