Spoilers ahead, people, skip it if you didnt played through the "Voting Day" event.
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Hey, im kind of wondering about this choice.
At first i didnt gave it much thought, since i thought it was the option to try to pick the spy and the framers by sacrificing the tree. However, after the voting day events (Lothar being a bitch, throwing a fit cause people want to move on and stomping off the village to "make justice"), im sort of curious if this will have a bigger impact on the story than i though.
And by "bigger impact" i mean, will someone die because of it??? My suspiciom is that by picking the tree, it will make Lothar be able to invade the village and kill either Furkan or Kari, and by picking to Withdraw, Lothar will be locked by the tribesman, and will be under Furkan's trial (whom has grudge agaisnt Lothar cause he killed his father), even tho Furkan doenst seem to be like someone who would kill Lothar out of vengeance, since he is pretty much a pacifist.
So my guess is that by picking to Withdraw, we will catch Lothar amidst his attempt, Furkan will put him on trial, and Tenki will have to try and convince the tribesman not to vote for Lothar's execution.
But this might be me reading too much ToS and being paranoid about the war endings, while trying to find the secret option that will bring the good ending.